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Marriage, Divorce and Demographic Change Around the World

Global Marriage and Divorce Trends Explained

The Maldives held the Guinness World Record for the highest divorce rate ever measured, 10.97 divorces per 1,000 people in 2002, more than double the rate of Belarus, its nearest rival at the time. Two decades later, global divorce data tell an almost opposite story in most other countries: crude divorce rates have been falling or flat in the large majority of nations with reliable records, even as marriage rates have fallen even faster, producing the unusual situation where a shrinking number of marriages coexists with a shrinking, not growing, divorce rate.

That combination only makes sense once marriage and divorce are measured correctly and understood as two related but independently moving parts of family formation, not as opposite ends of a single dial.

How Marriage and Divorce Are Measured

The crude marriage and divorce rates, marriages or divorces per 1,000 population in a given year, are the most widely reported measures because they require only two numbers: event counts and total population. They are also the crudest in the statistical sense, since they are heavily influenced by the age structure of the population and by how many people are already married and therefore eligible to divorce in the first place. A country with an unusually young population, or one where marriage itself has become rare, will show a low crude divorce rate that has little to do with how stable individual marriages actually are.

More refined measures, such as divorces per 1,000 existing marriages, or age-standardized rates, correct for some of this distortion but are reported far less consistently across countries, which is why the crude rate remains the default in most international comparisons despite its limitations.

Marriage Trends Across Countries

Within the European Union, Eurostat’s 2023 data show Romania recording the highest crude marriage rate at 5.8 per 1,000 persons, followed by Latvia (5.6) and Hungary (5.2), while Slovenia (3.0), Italy (3.1) and Bulgaria (3.4) recorded the lowest. Between 2022 and 2023, the marriage rate fell in 20 of the available EU countries and held steady in only two, Luxembourg and Portugal, illustrating how broadly the downward trend in marriage has spread across the bloc.

Divorce Trends Across Countries

Divorce statistics are notoriously difficult to compare across countries because legal systems differ so much in how divorce is processed, administratively in some countries, only through courts in others, and because reporting completeness and definitions vary. With that caveat, Eurostat’s 2023 figures put Latvia at the top of the EU’s crude divorce rate ranking at 2.8 per 1,000 persons, followed by Lithuania (2.5) and Finland (2.1).

Outside Europe, the pattern varies enormously. The United States recorded a crude divorce rate of 2.3 per 1,000 people in 2024, continuing a decade-long decline, with an estimated 45 percent of American marriages still ending in divorce despite the falling annual rate. Russia has long posted one of the world’s highest divorce rates, cited at around 3.9 per 1,000 in recent compilations, a legacy partly attributed to Soviet-era ease of divorce access, alongside early marriage ages and high remarriage rates; roughly half of Russian marriages are estimated to end in divorce. Belarus (approximately 3.7), Moldova (approximately 3.3) and Ukraine (approximately 2.9) show a similar post-Soviet pattern of elevated divorce alongside high rates of cohabitation and remarriage.

At the other extreme, Sri Lanka recorded the world’s lowest divorce rate as of 2025, at just 0.15 per 1,000 population, with Vietnam and Guatemala close behind at about 0.2. Analysts caution that a very low divorce rate does not necessarily indicate happier marriages; it can equally reflect strong legal or religious barriers to divorce, limited options for women seeking to leave a marriage, or strong cultural stigma, particularly in South Asian societies where Hindu and Buddhist traditions frame marriage as a near-sacred, lifelong bond, and in historically Catholic countries where divorce was legally restricted or culturally taboo for much of the 20th century.

Selected Crude Divorce Rates by Country

CountryCrude Divorce Rate (per 1,000)Year
Maldiveshistorically 10.97 (2002), lower today2002 / declining since
Latvia2.82023
Lithuania2.52023
Finland2.12023
Russia~3.9recent
United States2.32024
Belarus~3.7recent
Sri Lanka0.152025
Vietnam~0.22025

Sources: Eurostat, Marriage and Divorce Statistics, 2023; CDC/NCHS provisional 2023-2024 data; Statista/World Population Review compilations, 2025.

Marriage and Divorce by Age

A notable pattern in several developed countries is the rise of so-called “gray divorce,” divorce among people aged 50 and older, even as overall divorce rates decline. U.S. compilations show the aggregate divorce rate falling from about 4.0 per 1,000 in 2000 to roughly 2.5 by 2024, while divorce among the 50-and-older population has been rising over the same period, and millennials, who tend to marry later than previous generations, show lower divorce rates at comparable marriage durations than their parents’ generation did.

How Marriage and Divorce Reshape Households

Every divorce mechanically converts one household into two, at least temporarily, contributing directly to the rise in one-person and single-parent households documented in household composition data across many countries. Remarriage complicates this picture further, since a divorced person who remarries may form a new blended household that differs structurally from either the original marriage or a straightforward single-parent household, a pattern especially common in countries like Russia and the Maldives, where both divorce and remarriage rates run high simultaneously.

Marriage, Divorce and Fertility

Births outside marriage have become the majority outcome in some European countries: Eurostat data show that in 2023, births outside marriage outnumbered births within marriage in six EU countries, Bulgaria, Portugal, France, Sweden, Slovenia and Estonia. This marks a significant decoupling of childbearing from marital status in those societies, a pattern much less pronounced in countries such as India and Sri Lanka, where marriage remains a stronger precondition for socially and legally recognized childbearing.

Why Countries Follow Different Family Patterns

Legal, religious and historical factors explain much of the cross-country variation documented above. Predominantly Catholic countries historically restricted or prohibited divorce, a legacy still visible in comparatively low divorce rates in countries like the Philippines and Poland. Secular, Scandinavian and Northern European societies, by contrast, have long treated marriage as a partnership contract rather than a lifelong sacrament, contributing to Sweden’s relatively high divorce rate of roughly 2.5 per 1,000, among the highest in Europe, alongside high tolerance for cohabitation and births outside marriage. Post-Soviet states show a distinct pattern shaped by decades of state-simplified divorce procedures combined with the economic disruption of the 1990s, a combination that produced some of the highest sustained divorce rates in the world.

What These Changes Mean for Population Trends

Falling marriage rates and rising ages at first marriage compress the years many couples spend married during their most fertile ages, contributing to the broader global fertility decline. At the same time, falling divorce rates in many countries do not indicate that marriages are becoming more stable in a simple sense; they often reflect that fewer people are marrying in the first place, so there are fewer marriages available to end in divorce. Reading a national divorce rate in isolation, without also checking the marriage rate and the share of the population that is currently married, risks a fundamentally mistaken conclusion about family stability.

Frequently Asked Questions

1. Which countries have the highest divorce rates?

Historically the Maldives, which recorded a Guinness World Record rate of 10.97 divorces per 1,000 people in 2002, though its rate has fallen substantially since. Among countries with current comparable data, Russia (approximately 3.9 per 1,000), Latvia (2.8) and Lithuania (2.5) rank among the highest.

2. Are people divorcing more than before?

In most countries with long time series, no. The United States, for example, saw its divorce rate fall from about 4.0 per 1,000 in 2000 to roughly 2.5 by 2024, though divorce among people aged 50 and older has been rising even as the overall rate declines.

3. How does divorce affect household size?

Each divorce typically splits one household into two, contributing to the rise of one-person and single-parent households, though remarriage can later recombine some of these households into new blended family units.

4. Does divorce reduce fertility?

The relationship is complex rather than direct. Falling marriage stability can shorten the time couples spend together during peak childbearing years, but the larger driver of falling fertility worldwide is delayed marriage and delayed childbearing rather than divorce itself.

5. Which country has the lowest divorce rate?

Sri Lanka, at approximately 0.15 divorces per 1,000 population as of 2025, followed closely by Vietnam and Guatemala, though low divorce rates in these countries can reflect legal or cultural barriers rather than exceptionally stable marriages.

6. Why do post-Soviet countries have such high divorce rates?

A combination of historically simplified, state-accessible divorce procedures dating to the Soviet era, economic disruption following the Soviet collapse, early marriage ages and comparatively high remarriage rates has kept divorce rates elevated in Russia, Belarus, Moldova and Ukraine.

7. What is “gray divorce”?

A term describing the rising trend of divorce among people aged 50 and older, a pattern that has grown in several developed countries even as the overall national divorce rate has declined.

8. Are births outside marriage common worldwide?

It varies enormously. In 2023, births outside marriage outnumbered births within marriage in six European Union countries, including France and Sweden, while in much of South Asia and parts of the Middle East, childbearing remains closely tied to marriage.

9. How is the crude divorce rate calculated?

It is the number of divorces recorded in a given year divided by the total mid-year population, expressed per 1,000 people, a measure that is simple to calculate but sensitive to a country’s age structure and its overall marriage rate.

10. Does a falling divorce rate mean marriages are more stable?

Not necessarily. A falling divorce rate can also reflect fewer people marrying in the first place, meaning there are fewer existing marriages available to end in divorce, which is why divorce and marriage rates should be read together rather than in isolation.

Sources

  • Eurostat, Marriage and Divorce Statistics, data extracted March 2025, covering EU 2023 figures
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics, provisional U.S. marriage and divorce data, 2023-2024
  • World Population Review and Statista, Divorce Rates by Country 2025-2026 compilations
  • Guinness World Records, highest recorded national divorce rate, Maldives, 2002
  • Divorce.com, U.S. divorce rate trend analysis, 2000-2024
  • Nepal Divorce/comparative divorce rate analysis, Russia, Belarus, Moldova, Ukraine and Sweden data compilation

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